Mexico Presidential Election Forecast, 2024

Claudia Sheinbaum99.95%
+4.5 D
+12.5 W
+4.5 M
Y
Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Claudia Sheinbaum predicted to secure Mexico presidency in election forecast
Her probability increased by 12.45 percentage points over the past week, reflecting a significant rise in prediction market data.
Claudia Sheinbaum is predicted to win the Mexico presidential election with a 99.95% chance. This reflects significant gains over the past week, with an increase of 12.45 percentage points.
Source:Polymarket
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191EPP+ 1.1% D+ 3.2% W+ 2.7% M+ 13% Y
28.68%Lab+ 0 D+ 0.2 W+ 0.3 M- 15.2 Y
24.59%LSDP- 0 D+ 0.1 W+ 0.5 M- 0.9 Y
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