Mexico Presidential Election Forecast, 2024

Claudia Sheinbaum89.5%
+0.5 D
-5 W
-5 M
Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Sheinbaum holds 89.5% chance in 2024 Mexico presidential election forecast
Prediction market data shows a minor increase from yesterday, with a notable 5-point decrease over the past week and month.
Claudia Sheinbaum currently holds an 89.5% chance of winning the 2024 Mexico presidential election. This reflects an increase of 0.5 percentage points over the past day but a decrease of 5 percentage points over the past week and month.
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176EPP0% D+ 0.6% W0% M+ 6% Y
45%Lab+ 0.1 D+ 0.6 W+ 1.4 M+ 0.8 Y
21.79%LSDP- 0.1 D- 0.4 W- 2.7 M- 2.9 Y
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