International Politics
Claudia Sheinbaum predicted to secure Mexico presidency in election forecast
Her probability increased by 12.45 percentage points over the past week, reflecting a significant rise in prediction market data.
Claudia Sheinbaum
99.95%
+4.5 D
+12.5 W
+4.5 M
– Y
EPP gains projected in European Parliament elections
Center-right group forecast to win 177 seats, a 1.14% increase over the past month, may be related to shifts in European politics.
European Parliament seat projections
EPP
177
0% D
+0.6% W
+1.1% M
+10.6% Y
Labour’s poll numbers rise slightly ahead of UK election
Labour Party’s voting intention at 35.02%, up 1.15 points over past week but down from a month ago, election forecast shows.
UK voting intention
Lab
35.02%
+0.2 D
+1.2 W
-6.9 M
-10.7 Y