International Politics
Claudia Sheinbaum predicted to secure Mexico presidency in election forecast
Her probability increased by 12.45 percentage points over the past week, reflecting a significant rise in prediction market data.
Claudia Sheinbaum
99.95%
+4.5 D
+12.5 W
+4.5 M
– Y
EPP gains projected in European Parliament elections
Center-right group forecast to win 181 seats, a 2.84% increase over the past month, may be related to shifts in European politics.
European Parliament seat projections
EPP
181
0% D
0% W
+2.8% M
+7.1% Y
Labour’s lead over Conservatives narrows in UK polls
Labour voting intention at 29.3%, down 3.9 points in past month, may be related to criticism of economic policies.
UK voting intention
Lab
29.34%
+0.1 D
+0.1 W
-3.9 M
-16.3 Y