U.S. Presidential Election Forecast, 2024

0 D
+0.8 W
+5.3 M
Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Trump’s 2024 election forecast at 58.4% based on prediction market data
Prediction market data shows a 4.9 percentage point increase over the past month, despite a minor daily decrease.
Donald Trump’s chances of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election are currently at 58.4%, showing a minor decrease of 0.2 percentage points over the past day, but an overall increase of 4.9 percentage points over the past month.
Advanced chart controls
Go Pro to use advanced chart features.
60%Trump0 D+ 1 W+ 9 M+ 26 Y
61.58%Trump- 2 D- 2 W- 0.6 M Y
56.8%Disapprove- 0.3 D- 0.3 W+ 0.4 M+ 2.5 Y
97%Trump- 1 D+ 2 W+ 4 M+ 35 Y
53.9%Trump+ 4.1 D+ 10.4 W+ 9.8 M Y
About Realtime

Our system continuously tracks and analyzes key changes within public data on a range of topics: economics, politics, sports, and others. It then uses AI to generate live updating visualizations and reports.

To learn more about us, see our frequently asked questions or read about our motivation for starting Realtime.

Join the community

Realtime is currently in Beta, and we want to hear your input.

Join us on Discord to be the first to know about new data and features. There you can request additions to the platform and join discussions about the most impactful movements in data.