Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Trump’s 2024 election prediction market odds increase to 61.4%
Chances increase by 15.9 percentage points over the past month, related to discussions of potential Electoral College ties.
In the U.S. presidential election forecast, Trump currently holds a 61.4% chance of winning, an increase of 2.9 percentage points from yesterday, 5.6 percentage points over the past week, and 15.9 percentage points over the past month. Discussion around potential electoral college ties is gaining attention (ABC News).
Latest news articles
| 99% Trump | 0 D | 0 W | 0 M | + 28 Y | |
| 54.72% Disapprove | - 0.6 D | + 0.4 W | - 0.4 M | + 1 Y | |
| 60% Trump | + 2 D | + 6 W | + 14 M | + 22 Y | |
| 61.58% Trump | - 2 D | - 2 W | - 0.6 M | – Y | |
| 53.9% Trump | + 4.1 D | + 10.4 W | + 9.8 M | – Y |
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