U.S. Presidential Election Forecast, 2024

Trump56.7%
+2.1 D
-5 W
+8.2 M
Y
Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Trump’s 2024 election chances rise to 60.7% in prediction market forecast
Prediction market data shows a 13.8 percentage point monthly increase, significant momentum observed.
The forecast for Trump’s chances in the 2024 U.S. presidential election is currently 60.7%. Over the past month, his predicted likelihood of winning has increased by 13.8 percentage points.
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Trump56.7%
Harris42.9%
Newsom0.4%
Noem0.2%
Buttigieg0.1%
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