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Trump 2024 election chances forecast at 49.8%
Prediction markets show a 0.7-point daily increase and a 4-point weekly rise, recent economic news gains attention.
Predictions for Trump’s chances in the 2024 U.S. presidential election have increased, rising by 0.7 percentage points over the past day and by 4 percentage points over the past week, currently standing at 49.8%.
This rise aligns with recent economic news, such as the slight drop in U.S. inflation last month U.S. inflation ticked down slightly last month in the first drop of 2024.
Latest news articles
| 90% Trump | 0 D | - 1 W | - 2 M | + 30 Y | |
| 56.04% Disapprove | + 0.4 D | - 0.2 W | - 0.5 M | + 1.8 Y | |
| 49% Trump | + 1 D | + 2 W | + 4 M | + 15 Y | |
| 76.06% Biden | + 0 D | + 0 W | + 0.1 M | + 11.4 Y | |
| 61.58% Trump | - 2 D | - 2 W | - 0.6 M | – Y |
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