Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Trump’s forecasted odds of winning 2024 election drop to 56.7%
Prediction market data shows a 1.8 percentage point drop from yesterday, 5.4 percentage point decline over the past week.
The forecast for Trump’s chance of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election is 56.7%, a decrease of 1.8 percentage points from yesterday and 5.4 percentage points over the past week, but up 2.9 percentage points from last month.
Latest news articles
| 99% Trump | 0 D | 0 W | + 4 M | + 42 Y | |
| 53% Trump | - 4 D | - 11 W | + 1 M | + 22 Y | |
| 61.58% Trump | - 2 D | - 2 W | - 0.6 M | – Y | |
| 55.65% Disapprove | - 0.2 D | - 0.5 W | + 0.2 M | + 1.2 Y | |
| 53.9% Trump | + 4.1 D | + 10.4 W | + 9.8 M | – Y |
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