U.S. Presidential Election Forecast, 2024

Biden45.8%
+0.4 D
+0.6 W
+8.1 M
Y
Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Biden’s 2024 reelection odds increase to 45.7%
The market climbs by 0.3 percentage points today, part of an 8 percentage point increase over the month.
President Biden’s re-election chances currently stand at 45.7%, having increased by 0.3 percentage points today and by 8 percentage points over the past month.
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Biden45.8%
Trump43.2%
Kennedy3.6%
Obama2.4%
Harris1.9%
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Latest news articles
68.25%Likelihood+ 38.3 D+ 64.8 W+ 36.8 M Y
91%Trump0 D0 W- 2 M+ 40 Y
54%Biden+ 2 D+ 2 W+ 8 M+ 12 Y
56.11%Disapprove+ 0 D+ 0.3 W+ 0.3 M+ 2.6 Y
61.58%Trump- 2 D- 2 W- 0.6 M Y
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