Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Trump’s 2024 election chances rise to 60.7% in prediction market forecast
Prediction market data shows a 13.8 percentage point monthly increase, significant momentum observed.
The forecast for Trump’s chances in the 2024 U.S. presidential election is currently 60.7%.
Over the past month, his predicted likelihood of winning has increased by 13.8 percentage points.
Latest news articles
99% Trump | 0 D | 0 W | 0 M | + 27 Y | |
53% Trump | 0 D | - 6 W | + 4 M | + 15 Y | |
56.38% Disapprove | - 0.1 D | + 0.7 W | + 2.6 M | + 1.6 Y | |
61.58% Trump | - 2 D | - 2 W | - 0.6 M | – Y | |
53.9% Trump | + 4.1 D | + 10.4 W | + 9.8 M | – Y |
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