Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Trump’s 2024 election chances rise to 60.7% in prediction market forecast
Prediction market data shows a 13.8 percentage point monthly increase, significant momentum observed.
The forecast for Trump’s chances in the 2024 U.S. presidential election is currently 60.7%.
Over the past month, his predicted likelihood of winning has increased by 13.8 percentage points.
Latest news articles
| 99% Trump | 0 D | 0 W | 0 M | + 28 Y | |
| 55.59% Disapprove | - 0.1 D | + 0.9 W | + 2 M | + 1.7 Y | |
| 60% Trump | + 1 D | + 1 W | + 13 M | + 22 Y | |
| 61.58% Trump | - 2 D | - 2 W | - 0.6 M | – Y | |
| 53.9% Trump | + 4.1 D | + 10.4 W | + 9.8 M | – Y |
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