Mexico Presidential Election Forecast, 2024
Claudia Sheinbaum94%
+0.5 D
-0.5 W
+0.5 M
– Y
Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Sheinbaum’s forecasted win probability in Mexico’s 2024 election increases to 94%
Prediction market data shows a slight increase of 0.5 percentage points over the past day, maintaining stability this month.
Claudia Sheinbaum’s forecast to win the upcoming Mexico presidential election has risen slightly to 94%, up 0.5 percentage points from yesterday.
Over the past week, her chances have decreased by 0.5 percentage points, but they have increased by the same amount over the past month.
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 94% |
| Xóchitl Gálvez | 5.85% |
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Latest news articles
| 44.12% Lab | + 0 D | + 0.1 W | + 0.1 M | - 0.4 Y | |
| 174 EPP | 0% D | + 0.6% W | - 1.1% M | + 7.4% Y | |
| 21.79% LSDP | - 0.1 D | - 0.4 W | - 2.7 M | - 2.9 Y |
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