U.S. Presidential Election Forecast, 2024

Trump50.8%
+0.1 D
+4.3 W
+7 M
Y
Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Trump’s 2024 election odds at 50.8% in prediction markets
Prediction markets show a significant 6.9 percentage point increase over the past month, analysts note market confidence.
The prediction market shows Donald Trump with a 50.8% chance of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Over the past month, his chances have increased by 6.9 percentage points.
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Trump50.8%
Biden40.5%
Kennedy2.2%
Obama2.2%
Harris1.7%
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92%Trump0 D+ 1 W0 M+ 37 Y
76.06%Biden0 D0 W+ 0.1 M+ 16.8 Y
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55.71%Disapprove- 0 D- 0.3 W- 0.1 M+ 1.7 Y
61.58%Trump- 2 D- 2 W- 0.6 M Y
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